Navigation Links
Map predicting spread of avian flu

The 2003 epidemic of Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza (HPAI) in the Netherlands is the only recent epidemic of HPAI in the developed world. Gert-Jan Boender and colleagues have examined the data from this outbreak and produced a model which can predict the probability of infection from one farm to another; the 'transmission kernel'. They also identify high-risk areas in the Netherlands and analyze various control strategies, concluding that in these regions an epidemic can only be brought to an end by massive culling of susceptible farms.

For avian influenza, the analyses show that there are two poultry-dense areas in The Netherlands where epidemic spread is possible, one in the central region and one in the south, close to the German and Belgian border (see attached figure). The authors suggest local control measures are unlikely to be able to halt an unfolding epidemic in these areas.

The paper, published in the Open Access journal PLoS Computational Biology, arrives at these conclusions through a computational (or mathematical) modeling method, an approach which has already proved its worth in the analysis of infectious diseases such as the 2001 foot-and-mouth outbreak in the UK. The method can estimate the key parameters which determine the spread of highly transmissible animal diseases between farms. These risk maps identify geographic areas in which a given intervention strategy fails to control the spread of the disease between farms. "The risk map concept is an instrument suitable for analyses of epidemic control options both during crisis and in peacetime" says Boender.


'"/>

Source:Public Library of Science


Page: 1

Related biology news :

1. Mayo Clinic: Gene expression profiling not quite perfected in predicting lung cancer prognosis
2. Anti-bacterial additive widespread in U.S. waterways
3. HIV-1 spread through six transmission lines in the UK
4. Reservoirs may accelerate the spread of invasive aquatic species, researchers say
5. Undesirable expatriates: Preventing the spread of invasive animals
6. Nanobacteria in clouds could spread disease, scientists claim
7. Rabies spread speeds up
8. New understanding of cell movement may yield ways to brake cancers spread
9. VCU Massey Cancer Center study shows enzyme linked to spread of breast cancer cells
10. Industrial contaminants spread by seabirds in High Arctic, new Canadian study shows
11. Past droughts geographically widespread in the West, according to tree-ring data
Post Your Comments:
*Name:
*Comment:
*Email:
TAG: Map predicting spread avian flu

(Date:12/19/2014)... Research and Markets ( http://www.researchandmarkets.com/research/8kmfcn/iphone_5s ... "iPhone 5S Fingerprint Sensor - Apple/AuthenTec TMDR92 & ... offering. http://photos.prnewswire.com/prnh/20130307/600769 ... July 2012, Apple introduced the fingerprint reading feature ... only device of Apple incorporating such a feature, ...
(Date:12/19/2014)... , Dec. 18, 2014 Research and Markets ... of the "Micro Market Monitor: North America Perimeter ... http://photos.prnewswire.com/prnh/20130307/600769 The ... at a CAGR of 3.6% from 2014 to 2019. ... this market, Canada is expected ...
(Date:12/19/2014)...  23andMe, Inc., the leading personal genetics company, today ... differences in genetic ancestry of individuals from across ... immigrants first arrived more than four hundred years ago, ... as a meeting place for peoples from different continents. ... mixing of peoples with African, European, and American origins ...
Breaking Biology News(10 mins):iPhone 5S Fingerprint Sensor - Apple/AuthenTec TMDR92 & Sapphire - Technology Report 2Micro Market Monitor: North America Perimeter Security Systems Market (Intrusion Detection Sensor, Video Surveillance, Communication/Alarm and Notification, Access Control System) 2Micro Market Monitor: North America Perimeter Security Systems Market (Intrusion Detection Sensor, Video Surveillance, Communication/Alarm and Notification, Access Control System) 323andMe Study Sketches Genetic Portrait of the United States 223andMe Study Sketches Genetic Portrait of the United States 323andMe Study Sketches Genetic Portrait of the United States 4
... , This release is available in ... discovered a mechanism that helps to explain resilience ... work. The new findings, in the reward circuit ... high tech dragnet for compounds that boost the ...
... Researcher in the University of Bristol,s School of Biological Sciences ... as a cue to find coral reefs, but was amazed ... larvae which must quickly find a safe place to ... can do the same thing. The team designed a ...
... For years, researchers have known that resistance exercise training ... another force can be one of the most effective ... But many older people are unable to get the full ... as arthritis that prevent them from lifting enough weight to ...
Cached Biology News:Resilience factor low in depression, protects mice from stress 2Resilience factor low in depression, protects mice from stress 3Muscle mass in elderly boosted by combining resistance exercise and blood flow restriction 2
(Date:12/19/2014)... (PRWEB) December 19, 2014 Bioject ... developer and manufacturer of needle-free injection technology, today ... with Immunomic Therapeutics, Inc. (“ITI”) for ITI to ... with its LAMP™ vaccine platform. , In ... exclusive Worldwide license to the Biojector®-2000 that triggers ...
(Date:12/19/2014)... 2014 Charm Sciences is pleased to ... Detection of Aflatoxin M1 in raw commingled milk is ... party validation. The peer reviewed report of the validation ... for Agricultural and Fisheries Research (ILVO-T&V) has been published ... B1, the most toxic aflatoxin and a known carcinogen, ...
(Date:12/19/2014)... BioPlus Specialty Pharmacy (BioPlus), one ... of Nick Maroulis, Pharm.D. to the newly created position ... In this position, Dr. Maroulis will continue to manage ... of our multi-site pharmacies as the company expands. Dr. ... that time he has served in many different capacities ...
(Date:12/19/2014)... Ill. , Dec. 19, 2014 Naurex ... develop novel drugs for diseases of the central nervous ... president and chief executive officer, will present at the ... Riedel,s presentation will take place at 3:00 p.m. PST ... Francis in San Francisco, Calif. ...
Breaking Biology Technology:Bioject and Immunomic Therapeutics Enter into an Agreement for License of Needle-Free Technology for LAMP-vax Vaccines 2Bioject and Immunomic Therapeutics Enter into an Agreement for License of Needle-Free Technology for LAMP-vax Vaccines 3Charm Sciences Achieves Independent Validation of First 15 Minute Quantitative Screening Method for Aflatoxin M1 2BioPlus Specialty Pharmacy Promotes Dr. Nick Maroulis to Vice President of Specialty Pharmacy Services 2Naurex to Present at 33rd Annual J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference 2
... politics aside, every biologist knows that men and women truly ... area where those differences come to the fore: around 80 ... Social play behaviors also differ greatly between the sexes - ... girls. , ,Early in human development, critical brain proteins known ...
... The life sciences company Promega announced on Tuesday a ... that had been pending before the U.S. District Court ... Promega will hold a worldwide non-exclusive license from Benitec ... DNA-directed RNA interference (ddRNAi) technology. Promega will also receive ...
... an online provider of digital sheet music, announced on Tuesday ... Group to provide Word Music's collection of Christian music on ... , ,Word Music, a division of Warner Music Group based ... music from Christian songwriters such as Amy Grant, Point Of ...
Cached Biology Technology:Gender hormones may lend to social disorder therapies 2