Navigation Links
Map predicting spread of avian flu

The 2003 epidemic of Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza (HPAI) in the Netherlands is the only recent epidemic of HPAI in the developed world. Gert-Jan Boender and colleagues have examined the data from this outbreak and produced a model which can predict the probability of infection from one farm to another; the 'transmission kernel'. They also identify high-risk areas in the Netherlands and analyze various control strategies, concluding that in these regions an epidemic can only be brought to an end by massive culling of susceptible farms.

For avian influenza, the analyses show that there are two poultry-dense areas in The Netherlands where epidemic spread is possible, one in the central region and one in the south, close to the German and Belgian border (see attached figure). The authors suggest local control measures are unlikely to be able to halt an unfolding epidemic in these areas.

The paper, published in the Open Access journal PLoS Computational Biology, arrives at these conclusions through a computational (or mathematical) modeling method, an approach which has already proved its worth in the analysis of infectious diseases such as the 2001 foot-and-mouth outbreak in the UK. The method can estimate the key parameters which determine the spread of highly transmissible animal diseases between farms. These risk maps identify geographic areas in which a given intervention strategy fails to control the spread of the disease between farms. "The risk map concept is an instrument suitable for analyses of epidemic control options both during crisis and in peacetime" says Boender.


'"/>

Source:Public Library of Science


Page: 1

Related biology news :

1. Mayo Clinic: Gene expression profiling not quite perfected in predicting lung cancer prognosis
2. Anti-bacterial additive widespread in U.S. waterways
3. HIV-1 spread through six transmission lines in the UK
4. Reservoirs may accelerate the spread of invasive aquatic species, researchers say
5. Undesirable expatriates: Preventing the spread of invasive animals
6. Nanobacteria in clouds could spread disease, scientists claim
7. Rabies spread speeds up
8. New understanding of cell movement may yield ways to brake cancers spread
9. VCU Massey Cancer Center study shows enzyme linked to spread of breast cancer cells
10. Industrial contaminants spread by seabirds in High Arctic, new Canadian study shows
11. Past droughts geographically widespread in the West, according to tree-ring data
Post Your Comments:
*Name:
*Comment:
*Email:
TAG: Map predicting spread avian flu

(Date:8/11/2015)... Today, ZUK announced its Android smartphone Z1, featuring FPC,s touch ... 2015 that relate to sales of FPC1155 for this smartphone model ... for 2015. Jörgen Lantto, CEO of FPC, comments: " ... manufacturer in China and we are proud ... for Z1 , its first ...
(Date:8/10/2015)... The latest 364 page report from ... the global border security market . Visiongain ... 2015. Now: Border security is hard to achieve ... business critical issue you need to know about - and ... analysis of how this will impact your company and the ...
(Date:8/6/2015)... TELTOW, Germany , August 6, 2015 ... SensoMotoric Instruments (SMI) shows the world,s first ... based on Epson,s Moverio BT-200 see-through head mounted ... this new solution, unprecedented quality and efficiency is brought ... context-sensitive displays. For the first time, professionals and researchers ...
Breaking Biology News(10 mins):FPC's Touch Fingerprint Sensor FPC1155 in ZUK's Smartphone Z1 2Border Security Market Report 2015-2025 - Growth in Biometrics, ICT, Manned and Unmanned Vehicles, and Perimeter Surveillance 2Border Security Market Report 2015-2025 - Growth in Biometrics, ICT, Manned and Unmanned Vehicles, and Perimeter Surveillance 3Border Security Market Report 2015-2025 - Growth in Biometrics, ICT, Manned and Unmanned Vehicles, and Perimeter Surveillance 4Border Security Market Report 2015-2025 - Growth in Biometrics, ICT, Manned and Unmanned Vehicles, and Perimeter Surveillance 5Border Security Market Report 2015-2025 - Growth in Biometrics, ICT, Manned and Unmanned Vehicles, and Perimeter Surveillance 6Border Security Market Report 2015-2025 - Growth in Biometrics, ICT, Manned and Unmanned Vehicles, and Perimeter Surveillance 7Border Security Market Report 2015-2025 - Growth in Biometrics, ICT, Manned and Unmanned Vehicles, and Perimeter Surveillance 8Border Security Market Report 2015-2025 - Growth in Biometrics, ICT, Manned and Unmanned Vehicles, and Perimeter Surveillance 9SMI Shows First Eye Tracking Upgrade for Augmented Reality Glasses 2SMI Shows First Eye Tracking Upgrade for Augmented Reality Glasses 3
... Conservation Biology annual meetings, in Brasília, Brazil, the Woods ... da Amazonia (IPAM) will hold an international symposium on ... the Amazon Basin. , This region has entered a ... industries driving deforestation (cattle ranching and soybean farming) are ...
... available online) of Nature Genetics establishes a model ... cells in the human body determine their own ... associate professor of pediatrics and of medical and ... Medicine, investigated the interaction of proteins responsible for ...
... you being in a car wreck or being bitten by a ... a free trip to the beach. It's really no contest, says ... wreck are far greater than being a shark's lunch, says John ... sharks for years. , Worldwide, about one million people a year ...
Cached Biology News:Determining The Fate Of Cells In The Human Body 2Shark attack worries? Driving to the beach is more deadly 2
(Date:9/2/2015)... 2015 Veracyte, Inc. (NASDAQ: VCYT ) ... and chief executive officer, will present at the Morgan ... at 10:30 a.m. ET in New York, ... webcast and subsequent replay may be accessed by visiting Veracyte,s website ... shortly after conclusion of the presentation and archived on ...
(Date:9/2/2015)... 2015 Biovista Inc. freut ... von 2015 bekanntgeben zu können. Hierbei handelt es ... Biovista unterstützt mit seiner Möglichkeit der ... anderer Krankheiten als denen, für die ein Medikament ... sein Team bei der Wylder Nation Foundation bei ...
(Date:9/2/2015)... ... 02, 2015 , ... Temarry Recycling's new $100,000 waste to ... process and continue to contribute to the sustainability of our natural resources. , ... process has been operating at their Mexico facility, Recicladora Temarry, for the last ...
(Date:9/1/2015)... , September 2, 2015 ... auf die Forschung und Entwicklung neuartiger Therapien ... chronisch-entzündliche Darmerkrankungen und Reizdarm konzentriert, erhält vom ... dass sein neues Medikament patentiert wird. Das ... Allergien bei Kindern verhindert und Entzündungen vorbeugt.   ...
Breaking Biology Technology:Veracyte to Present at Morgan Stanley Global Healthcare Conference 2Biovista sponsert die Forschung von Wylder Nation Foundation zum Thema Mangel an saurer Sphingomyelinase 2Temarry Recycling’s New $100,000 Waste to Energy Renovation 2Das Patent von Swecure zur Verhinderung von Allergien bei Kindern wird in den USA zugelassen 2
... system for boats and recreational vehicles. Think about a ... hikers, campers and sportsmen. Consider a company that produces ... for cows, which, in turn, is better for farmers. ... welcome to the third annual Governor's Business Plan Contest. ...
... have stepped forward in an attempt to prevent a young ... state, but outside investors are still in the picture. , ... will meet with four prospective Wisconsin investors on May 18 ... in Green Bay. Those meetings will precede talks with investors ...
... The first embryonic stem cells were isolated in mice in ... derive stem cells from human embryos. That kicked into full ... a look at key moments in the controversy so far: ... of Wisconsin isolate the first embryonic stem cells in ...
Cached Biology Technology:Business plan contest finalists reflect state's economic character 2Business plan contest finalists reflect state's economic character 3Wisconsin investors will make their pitch to IPIC 2A brief timeline of the stem cell debate 2A brief timeline of the stem cell debate 3A brief timeline of the stem cell debate 4A brief timeline of the stem cell debate 5A brief timeline of the stem cell debate 6