Navigation Links
Map predicting spread of avian flu

The 2003 epidemic of Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza (HPAI) in the Netherlands is the only recent epidemic of HPAI in the developed world. Gert-Jan Boender and colleagues have examined the data from this outbreak and produced a model which can predict the probability of infection from one farm to another; the 'transmission kernel'. They also identify high-risk areas in the Netherlands and analyze various control strategies, concluding that in these regions an epidemic can only be brought to an end by massive culling of susceptible farms.

For avian influenza, the analyses show that there are two poultry-dense areas in The Netherlands where epidemic spread is possible, one in the central region and one in the south, close to the German and Belgian border (see attached figure). The authors suggest local control measures are unlikely to be able to halt an unfolding epidemic in these areas.

The paper, published in the Open Access journal PLoS Computational Biology, arrives at these conclusions through a computational (or mathematical) modeling method, an approach which has already proved its worth in the analysis of infectious diseases such as the 2001 foot-and-mouth outbreak in the UK. The method can estimate the key parameters which determine the spread of highly transmissible animal diseases between farms. These risk maps identify geographic areas in which a given intervention strategy fails to control the spread of the disease between farms. "The risk map concept is an instrument suitable for analyses of epidemic control options both during crisis and in peacetime" says Boender.


'"/>

Source:Public Library of Science


Page: 1

Related biology news :

1. Mayo Clinic: Gene expression profiling not quite perfected in predicting lung cancer prognosis
2. Anti-bacterial additive widespread in U.S. waterways
3. HIV-1 spread through six transmission lines in the UK
4. Reservoirs may accelerate the spread of invasive aquatic species, researchers say
5. Undesirable expatriates: Preventing the spread of invasive animals
6. Nanobacteria in clouds could spread disease, scientists claim
7. Rabies spread speeds up
8. New understanding of cell movement may yield ways to brake cancers spread
9. VCU Massey Cancer Center study shows enzyme linked to spread of breast cancer cells
10. Industrial contaminants spread by seabirds in High Arctic, new Canadian study shows
11. Past droughts geographically widespread in the West, according to tree-ring data
Post Your Comments:
*Name:
*Comment:
*Email:
TAG: Map predicting spread avian flu

(Date:10/16/2014)... 2014 NXT-ID, Inc. (NASDAQ: NXTD ... authentication company focused on the growing mobile commerce market ... Wocket™, the Smart Wallet, at the 13 th ... leading global conference on the intersection of technology and ... Anderson , founder and publisher of the Strategic News ...
(Date:10/15/2014)... ,Models of Life, is a non-traditional biophysics textbook and ... book is a journey of discovery into biological systems ... and biological regulation. It is about how our genes ... between the billions of cells in an organism. It ... between principles, which can be found on both large ...
(Date:10/15/2014)... in female mice to an enzyme activated by the ... resistant to respiratory infections than males. Now, an international ... bacterial pneumonia in female mice is linked to the ... that this enzyme is ultimately activated by the release ... lead by Professor Lester Kobzik at the Harvard University ...
Breaking Biology News(10 mins):NXT-ID Inc. to Present at 13th Annual FiRe Conference 2NXT-ID Inc. to Present at 13th Annual FiRe Conference 3New book about life as seen from physics 2
... from L-1 and Terminates Discussions ... ... ("L-1") (NYSE: ID ), a leading provider of identity solutions ... with Digimarc Corporation ("Digimarc") (Nasdaq: DMRC ). The,proposed transaction values ...
... Calif., June 30, 2008--In a breakthrough scientific study published ... of Sciences , scientists at the Burnham Institute for ... may be linked to Autism. The study demonstrated that ... in neural stem cells had smaller brains, fewer nerve ...
... College of Medicine and her colleagues discovered the first ... the intestines, causing diarrhea. The next step ... through which the enterotoxin interacts to cause diarrhea. ... be straightforward," said the professor of molecular virology and ...
Cached Biology News:Digimarc Board Approves $310 Million All-Cash Offer from L-1 Identity Solutions for Digimarc's ID Systems Business 2Digimarc Board Approves $310 Million All-Cash Offer from L-1 Identity Solutions for Digimarc's ID Systems Business 3Digimarc Board Approves $310 Million All-Cash Offer from L-1 Identity Solutions for Digimarc's ID Systems Business 4Digimarc Board Approves $310 Million All-Cash Offer from L-1 Identity Solutions for Digimarc's ID Systems Business 5Digimarc Board Approves $310 Million All-Cash Offer from L-1 Identity Solutions for Digimarc's ID Systems Business 6Digimarc Board Approves $310 Million All-Cash Offer from L-1 Identity Solutions for Digimarc's ID Systems Business 7Researchers link early stem cell mutation to autism 2Integrins as receptors give insight into rotavirus and diarrhea 2
(Date:10/22/2014)... Shimadzu Scientific Instruments introduces its Open ... the pain management and clinical markets. The software increases ... by allowing users to highlight and review results that ... allows analysts to filter results by group or based ... eliminating the need to sift through analytes of no ...
(Date:10/22/2014)... 22, 2014 Physicians Choice Laboratory ... pharmacogenetics menu, which enables healthcare providers to individualize ... PCLS’s evidence-based results, healthcare providers are better able ... therapy, while minimizing risks for adverse drug reactions ... to the FDA [1] more than 2.2 million ...
(Date:10/22/2014)... 2014 Research and Markets  has announced ... Material, by Application, Geography - Global Analysis and Forecast ... Organic electronics, also called as polymer electronics ... which deals with small conductive molecules and electrically conductive ... and polymers are carbon based, made using synthetic strategies ...
(Date:10/20/2014)... , Oct. 20, 2014 Asterias Biotherapeutics, ... Company has signed a Notice of Grant Award ... (CIRM), effective October 1, 2014.  The NGA provides ... and the release of additional grant funds pursuant ... award for clinical development of Asterias, product, AST-OPC1. ...
Breaking Biology Technology:Shimadzu Releases QuantAnalytics Open Access LCMS Software Package for Clinical Applications 2PCLS Announces Expansion of Cardiovascular Pharmacogenetic Testing Menu 2PCLS Announces Expansion of Cardiovascular Pharmacogenetic Testing Menu 3Global Organic Electronics (Semiconductor, Conductive, Dielectric and Substrate) Market - Analysis and Forecast (2014 - 2020) 2Global Organic Electronics (Semiconductor, Conductive, Dielectric and Substrate) Market - Analysis and Forecast (2014 - 2020) 3Asterias Biotherapeutics Announces Notice of Grant Award with CIRM for Phase 1/2a Clinical Trial of AST-OPC1 in Complete Cervical Spinal Cord Injury 2Asterias Biotherapeutics Announces Notice of Grant Award with CIRM for Phase 1/2a Clinical Trial of AST-OPC1 in Complete Cervical Spinal Cord Injury 3Asterias Biotherapeutics Announces Notice of Grant Award with CIRM for Phase 1/2a Clinical Trial of AST-OPC1 in Complete Cervical Spinal Cord Injury 4
... Calif., June 23, 2011 Nile Therapeutics, Inc. (OTCQB: ... heart failure patients, today announced that it has completed ... securities consisting of an aggregate of 5,000,000 shares of ... 2,500,000 shares of common stock for aggregate gross proceeds ...
... 2011 GeoVax Labs, Inc. (OTCQB/OTCBB: GOVX), ... HIV/AIDS vaccines, announced today the opening of a third ... vaccine.  The Los Angeles-based AIDS Research Alliance (ARA) will ... site team: the AIDS Research Consortium of Atlanta and ...
... NEW YORK, June 22, 2011 Veredus Laboratories, a ... partner, STMicroelectronics (NYSE: STM ), today announced ... application that is able to detect 10 to 12 ... Escherichia coli (E. coli) responsible for the ...
Cached Biology Technology:Nile Therapeutics, Inc. Completes $2.5 Million Private Placement 2Nile Therapeutics, Inc. Completes $2.5 Million Private Placement 3GeoVax Initiates Third Site For Therapeutic Testing of Its HIV Vaccine 2GeoVax Initiates Third Site For Therapeutic Testing of Its HIV Vaccine 3GeoVax Initiates Third Site For Therapeutic Testing of Its HIV Vaccine 4Veredus Laboratories Develops Lab-on-Chip Solution to Detect and Differentiate Several Food-Borne Pathogens, Including Escherichia coli (E. coli) 2Veredus Laboratories Develops Lab-on-Chip Solution to Detect and Differentiate Several Food-Borne Pathogens, Including Escherichia coli (E. coli) 3Veredus Laboratories Develops Lab-on-Chip Solution to Detect and Differentiate Several Food-Borne Pathogens, Including Escherichia coli (E. coli) 4
Request Info...
Secure-Seal™ spacer, one well, 20 mm diameter, 0.12 mm deep *set of 100*...
Synphilin 1 Immunogen: Synthetic peptide corresponding to residues S(829) L E L N G E K D K D K G R T L Q R T(847) of human Synphilin 1. Storage: -20 C, Avoid Freeze/Thaw Cycles...
Request Info...
Biology Products: